Episode 07

1st Member of the Jury / Voted Out 5-4-2

Re: Episode 07

Postby Stephannie » Sat Aug 29, 2015 1:54:50 am

She's the type of player who thinks she has it all figured out from final 12 to the final tribal council.
I've got news for you, THAT STRATEGY DOESN'T WORK you're going to get fucking caught and you're going to go home. She's going to find herself not even noticing that her plan isn't going through because she's so busy counting steps in the future.

She thinks it's this big genius plan, but it's so fucking obvious.


Her sitting in the final 6 with Stacy, Nate, Jessica, Rebecca, and then ...me? or Flicka? i.e. 3 goats and 1 other "big player" to take the heat off of her.

Maybe she needs me around instead of Flicka to get rid of Jessica for her... but then after that she'll just toss me aside anyway. Or she doesn't even need me at all?


Ya. She can try to herd the goats all she wants. She'll get caught.
If she isn't saving me this round, I'm spilling the beans.
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Re: Episode 07

Postby Stephannie » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:06:36 am

and I love Flicka&Rebecca but if she takes Flicka with her instead of me, then that is FOUR goats with her at the final 6... oh well. This info just makes the case better and better for when I let Penner/Candice/Cassandra know. icon_whistling
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Re: Episode 07

Postby Stephannie » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:07:12 am

Also let me just say that my new GLAMOROUS avatar is inspiring me to make some bold moves icon_yes
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Re: Episode 07

Postby Stephannie » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:15:11 am

If a Svinoy 2.0 is voted out this round:
Cecilia
Jessica
Stacy
Nate

Penner
Candice
Cassandra

Svinoy
Svinoy
Svinoy

Rebecca

So at final 11 6 votes are needed to send someone home. Penner/Candice/Cassandra would need Rebecca+2 Svinoy or all 3 remaining Svinoy members if they want to take control and get rid of Cecilia.
But once the vote goes through, Cecilia's alliance has already recruited whichever Svinoy members, so it may even be too late then.


In doing the breakdown, I realize that a case could be made that Penner/Candice/Cassandra could still be fine even if I'm voted out this round... so maybe if they're genuinely going to keep me around, I'll hold off one round before spilling the beans.

But if it looks like I'm going, there isn't anything to lose.
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Re: Episode 07

Postby Stephannie » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:18:43 am

Alternatively I see why everyone wants a Svinoy 2.0 person to go this round:

Cecilia
Jessica
Stacy
Nate

Stephannie
Flicka
Liliana
Rocky

Candice
Penner
Cassandra

Rebecca

With Rebecca being the wildcard... there's still four of us, so if Candice/Penner/Cassandra don't take one of us out, they could still feel at a disadvantage in numbers because we'd have 4 and they'd have 3.


But I think if the Hestur trio had some common sense, they would vote Cecilia off when presented with this info.
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Re: Episode 07

Postby Stephannie » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:25:09 am

So pretty much there's two "sides" with Mykines and Hestur, and both of them want Svinoy to sacrifice its members before striking the other side.

i.e. the Candice/Penner/Cassandra trio is probably just as untrustworthy as the Cecilia/Nate/Stacy/Jessica group... so I feel like what if I point it out to them and they're just like, "ya, duh we already knew that."


Both sides are joining forces to attack us just so that they can safely attack each other icon_no
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Re: Episode 07

Postby Stephannie » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:25:45 am

The question is: How can I use that knowledge to save myself from elimination?
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Re: Episode 07

Postby Stephannie » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:30:54 am

also I'm going to feel like a stupid-ass if this was just all common knowledge and I'm the last to catch on icon_lol
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Re: Episode 07

Postby Stephannie » Sat Aug 29, 2015 11:22:05 am

it's so frustrating to see nobody online when I'M ON THE CHOPPING BLOCK and need to talk with people.
I guess everyone feels confident it's not them because I'm "the obvious choice to go" icon_no
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Re: Episode 07

Postby Stephannie » Sat Aug 29, 2015 11:28:04 am

It's frustrating because the Candice/Penner/Cassandra group may not need me if they have Flicka and Rebecca, because Liliana is allegedly close with Cassandra.

it could honestly be:

Cecilia
Stacy
Nate
Jessica

Candice
Penner
Cassandra
Rebecca
Flicka
Liliana

Stephannie
Rocky


It's the Mykines vs Hestur+Rebecca(&Flicka by extension... and Liliana if Cass likes her) and then me and Rocky being "leftovers" that everyone just wants gone because they want control and they don't want wildcards in the mix.

So actually... I'm hoping that if I make it obvious enough to the Mykines crowd that Liliana and Cassandra are tight, it might put a higher chance of them voting Liliana out than me?


Alternatively last night I was thinking that we could have the Hestur people vote me and the Mykines people vote Liliana and then all 5 of us vote someone else and that person goes home... but I think Rebecca is in with Candice/Penner/Cassandra more than expected, so I don't know if she would go along with that after all.
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Re: Episode 07

Postby Stephannie » Sat Aug 29, 2015 11:35:12 am

Rebecca just told me that there's a plan to get rid of Stacy in the works?

Though I'm not so sure the Hestur people would actually go through with that because it leaves FIVE Svinoy 2.0 tribemembers in the game with three of both the others.


Also Jessica is apparently locked into a "vote out Stephannie no matter what" mentality, and it's ridiculous. She's already blown her cover and now everyone knows about that Jessica/Cecilia/Stacy/Nate alliance.
She's going to get herself voted out even sooner than expected icon_whistling
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Re: Episode 07

Postby Stephannie » Sat Aug 29, 2015 12:02:22 pm

I can definitely sell an angle that Stacy is a mindless pawn for Jessica/Cecilia's big plan... and will always vote with them because she's never even online long enough to flip her to anyone else.

So Hestur people could either stop the Jessica/Cecilia domination plan NOW by taking out one of their pawns, or they could get rid of the Svinoy "free agent" type players and take their chances in the future...
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Re: Episode 07

Postby Stephannie » Sat Aug 29, 2015 1:04:48 pm

So it looks like a possible boot is Stacy with Candice, Pennner, Cassandra, me, Flicka, Rebecca, Liliana all voting that way...
but Cecilia keeps insisting that she has my back and that I'm good. But I think in that she means she's switching the vote to Liliana.


So I'm just imagining the scenario where the vote is Stacy vs Liliana and I'm suddenly safe icon_lol
The issue there, though, is that I've now put myself in a position where I'm betraying someone no matter where I vote.

If I vote out Stacy, that kills the trust(?) I have with Cecilia.
If I vote out Liliana, that kills the trust I have with Flicka, Rocky, Candice, Cassandra, and Penner... so it looks like the better choice is to vote out Stacy if that's the actual plan and Candice/Cassandra aren't lying to me?

I could sell it to Cecilia later as "not wanting to vote in the minority" if it's an 8-4 vote... but obviously she can't know beforehand because then she'd freak out and campaign to get rid of me... so if I vote out Stacy I have to do damage control, but hopefully I'd be fine.




I think boards are starting to slow down a bit. I'm going to take a bit of a break and come back. Hopefully things will be looking up for me then.
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Re: Episode 07

Postby Stephannie » Sat Aug 29, 2015 10:40:30 pm

It would be nice if people actually made the effort to log in... but then again they all know they're safe because I'm such an easy target.

It's looking more and more that I'm going to need to publicly call things out... unless that Stacy vote is finalized.
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Re: Episode 07

Postby Stephannie » Sun Aug 30, 2015 1:20:52 am

It's so annoying.

Since the first swap Nate, Penner, Cassandra, Candice, Cecilia, Jessica, Rebecca, and Stacy have all been on a tribe together at some point.
Me, Flicka, Liliana, and Rocky have only ever been with Jessica and Rebecca... and Rebecca seems on our side and Jessica is against us.


meaning that Nate, Penner, Cassandra, Candice, Cecilia, Jessica, and Stacy have NO problem just picking off the Svinoy 2.0 people even if they want to go after each other.
They just want to "whittle down" our group and then use us as pawns.

It's disgusting, and frustrating. Because they shouldn't be able to get away with it... but because both sides want the same thing (and think they can get away with the same thing) it's likely what is going to happen.
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Re: Episode 07

Postby Jeff Probst » Sun Aug 30, 2015 1:24:44 am

If you are convinced you are going home are you going to blow up any of this information on your way out? Or possibly use it to sway votes?
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Re: Episode 07

Postby Stephannie » Sun Aug 30, 2015 1:27:50 am

Jeff Probst wrote:If you are convinced you are going home are you going to blow up any of this information on your way out? Or possibly use it to sway votes?

both...

there's still 5% of me that believes Cecilia and hopes that Liliana will serve as the sacrificial lamb to keep me safe a few rounds before I use all this info to shake things up.

ALTERNATIVELY if I find out that I'm fucked no matter what, I'm using the info to sway the vote.

And if I'm voted out without spilling the beans, I'm going to use my "final words" thing to let everyone know the tribe dynamics and what's going on. Gonna reveal everything I know on my way out.
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Re: Episode 07

Postby Stephannie » Sun Aug 30, 2015 1:32:11 am

Also Flicka tells me that she has a plan so big that she's not even sure if it's against the rules.
I can't say I'm not curious. She says she needs to check with the hosts first... I'm anxious to hear back what she says.
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Re: Episode 07

Postby Jeff Probst » Sun Aug 30, 2015 1:34:24 am

Girl look at you earning that returnee ballot
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Re: Episode 07

Postby Stephannie » Sun Aug 30, 2015 1:40:16 am

Jeff Probst wrote:Girl look at you earning that returnee ballot

icon_wub icon_wub icon_wub icon_wub icon_wub icon_wub
And hopefully it would be as the FAROE ISLANDS WINNER... (though ya, my "winner chances" are starting to look real grim right now... need to survive this vote).

my worst fear at this point is my work going obnoxiously long tomorrow and me missing tribal.
On a good day I'm done at 6:30c/7:30e, but I had to work until 8:00c/9:00e a couple times and I BARELY made it back to boards in time for that counting challenge. (which is why I asked to move tribal back)

I've never had to stay much later than 8c/9e, but I'm a paranoid person and so there'll be that thought in the back of my mind all day of being stressed to get home in time.
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