Episode 11

[Jeff Probst]

Second Unanimous vote in a row. Second huge blindside in a row. Second giant player in a row to leave.

Are you concerned with your status in the game. Are you taking out the only other targets in the game aside from yourself? How is your résumé going into the final 8? WIth one more week of the game, are you prepared to play it all out? Time is running out to impress the jury.

Explain how you view your game and how you think the jury will have seen your game. How can you win and who are your biggest threats standing in your way?

[Penner]

I'm at the stage now where there's 8 people left, and as always, I keep running through scenarios that will get me to the FTC. For once, I'm starting to get stuck at F5. There's 3 people on each side (Lil/Rocky/Rebecca and Nate/Stacy/Jessica) and Candice & I have placed ourselves right in the middle. We're in a five person alliance with both trios and tonight is the night that we screw over one of them. The problem being, going to final five with either of the trios is also a mistake. So somehow, we need to vote out someone from one alliance, and not piss them off too much that they won't team up with the other side.

My current plan is to get Rocky, Lil and Rebecca to vote Nate, while Candice and I team up with Nate/Stacy/Jess and vote out Lil. I still think I can work with Rocky and Rebecca after that to turn around again and vote out Jess and Stacy at the next two tribals. Then, I'm at a slightly more survivable F5 of Nate, Rocky, Rebecca, Candice and me. This is when I probably have to turn on Candice, because out of that 5, she's the big jury threat. Hopefully I get "blindsided" and everyone just votes her out without me having to get my hands dirty. Then, out of that final 4, I think Rocky is an easy sell to Nate and Rebecca as the likeable jury threat. This gets me to F3 against Nate and Rebecca, who don't have the strongest social games in the world. With a jury including Steph, Candice, Cass, CiCi and Rocky, I *think* I could get the votes I'd need to win. That completely depends on them not hating me for voting them out - CiCi is a good example of someone who really thought we were besties, even though I was itching to vote her out since my first confessional.

In other news, I spent most of yesterday in hospital after getting a concussion at a match. Had to read over any messages I sent to make sure I hadn't been PMing the wrong people from my phone in my intense confusion.

I really want to kick some ass at tonight's challenge though, this whole under-the-radar business has been great for getting me through the early merge but it's not going to get me the win.

[Brenda Lowe]

How about that Dubs win?

Okay I am playing some serious catch-up here. My only real Q coming out of that update is what do you think the chances are of the trios looking to stay as one big happy family for another Round and taking out one of you or Candice? Wooing just one of you at seven would be so much simpler and safer than dealing with two..

[Penner]

That's a definite possibility, and the smart move for them. I'm confident they'll ditch Candice before they ditch me though. I'm using her as a human shield (soz babes). Candice has got to be a big jury threat right now.

Speaking of the dubs win, I have a Dublin jersey signed by the entire football team. I've been praying they make the All-Ireland Final so I can sell it for maximum dolla but also nervous they'd lose and it would lose its value. Basically I'm heavily invested in jersey futures right now.

[Penner]

On that point also Brenda: I think it would be a big risk to take out one of us, given that the remaining one could be bitter and has a ready made other three people to join up with. Candice and I both have good bonds on either side, whereas I don't think that could be said for all the others.